KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before Jan 1, 2029 · —
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Preço registado
Before Jan 1, 2029 84.5%Líder entre 11 opções
Before Jan 1, 2029 84.5%Qualidade do mercado
52 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
306 €
Contratos em aberto
142,2 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: altoCompra / Venda
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Before Jan 1, 2029Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 28 minutos
12/10/26, 18:00 UTC1/02/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdeu
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdeu
Before Nov 1, 2026Perdeu
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Jan 1, 2029
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsKash Patel out by...? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWill Kash Patel visit Russia?
KalshiWhich people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?
Manifold MarketsWill Kash Patel leave office by November 4, 2026?
PredictItRegras
If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Kash PatelThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersFederal Bureau of InvestigationCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Kash Patel must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Kash Patel out by...? · December 31 19%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Kash Patel out by...? · December 31 54%
