Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 88.8%
Previsores
22
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado26/06/24, 06:46 UTC3/01/30, 07:59 UTC
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Eliezer Yudkowsky stated, in regards to AI risk, "Be willing to destroy a rogue datacenter by airstrike." Is this going to happen? If an AI-aligned datacenter is attacked, this question resolves YES.
- Minor vandalism or protest-related damage would not qualify.
- Update 2025-11-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if there is clear intentionality to attack a data center to oppose AI development, even if the attack is stopped before causing significant damage (e.g., if attackers are stopped after breaking in but before destroying equipment).
- Or if like the air strike gets destroyed or misses lol
- Update 2025-11-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Cyberattacks: Only physical attacks count for resolution.
- Ransomware or similar cyberattacks that don't cause physical damage would not qualify.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 89% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030? é resolvido?
- Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Eliezer Yudkowsky stated, in regards to AI risk, "Be willing to destroy a rogue datacenter by airstrike." Is this going to happen? If an AI-aligned datacenter is attacked, this question resolves YES.