Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 89.3%
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado1/09/26, 14:21 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will any country formally leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the UN’s Security Council permanent members leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketWill any Antarctic Treaty signatory announce plans for exploratory fossil fuel surveys by end of 2027?
FutuurWill Ukraine sign an EU Accession Treaty by December 2027?
FutuurWill Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons - Wikipedia
- Will any party to the treaty formally leave the treaty in 2027? Treaty violations are not included; a country must formally leave the treaty in order to resolve this question Yes.
- Merely giving notice is not sufficient.
- @/EvanDaniel/will-any-country-formally-leave-the-8asrgfzza7@/EvanDaniel/will-any-country-formally-leave-the-OAASCz9ztA
- [link preview]
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 470,8 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- € 35,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 100,1 mil
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will any country formally leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty in 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 89% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will any country formally leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty in 2027? é resolvido?
- Will any country formally leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty in 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will any country formally leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty in 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons - Wikipedia