Will any 2028 presidential primary or caucus winner have publicly backed a universal basic income since 2025?
Política comercialOne-OffPolíticaPolítica dos EUAEleição1a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 78.2%
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Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado30/09/26, 00:08 UTC1/09/28, 03:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if at least one person who wins a 2028 Democratic or Republican presidential primary or caucus publicly supported a universal basic income between January 1, 2025 and the date of that win.
- Any statewide presidential preference primary or caucus in the 50 states or DC counts, whether run by the state or a state party, binding or not, sanctioned by the national party or not.
- A person wins by placing first among named candidates on any official statewide count (popular vote, a caucus's first or final alignment, or delegates or state delegate equivalents).
- If "uncommitted" or "none of these candidates" places first on a count, nobody wins that count.
- Otherwise it resolves NO after the last such contest.
- Supported a UBI means the candidate said they favor enacting a recurring federal cash payment to all or nearly all adults with no income or work test.
