Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 74.7%
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8
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado19/09/23, 15:12 UTC2/01/31, 07:59 UTC
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It should be mostly undamaged.
- Either captured, or taken after forced landing, or similar.
- Something like the Hainan incident would count. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hainan_Island_incident
- Even if the pilot has a chance to manually destroy sensitive aspects of the plane before being taken, as long as the exterior is mostly intact it would count.
- Even a crash which the pilot walks away from would likely result in a plane in good enough condition to count.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will an F-35 be captured or in possession of an adversary any time through 2030?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 75% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will an F-35 be captured or in possession of an adversary any time through 2030 é resolvido?
- Will an F-35 be captured or in possession of an adversary any time through 2030 deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como Will an F-35 be captured or in possession of an adversary any time through 2030 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: It should be mostly undamaged.