Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2050?
GeopolíticaOne-OffIATecnologia
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 84.4%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 40 minutos
23/12/24, 02:45 UTC1/01/50, 04:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria:
- The Al's actions must be unexpected and not reasonably predictable by its operators.
- Incidents where operators were aware of the risks but ignored them do not count.
- Deaths resulting from human decisions, where Al serves merely as a tool or assistant, are excluded (war, etc).
- The question concerns the total number of deaths caused by Al.
- Multiple deadly incidents from different Al systems will be combined if it occurs within 365 days.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2050??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 84% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2050? é resolvido?
- Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2050? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2050.
- Como Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2050? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria: