Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027?
One-OffCiência3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 98%
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Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado12/08/23, 05:27 UTC2/01/27, 05:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Resolves NO on January 1, 2027 if no such proof has yet been found.
- Resolves YES if such a proof is found before then.
- This would obviously likely be by an AI, but proofs from human mathematicians also count.
- I wanted a version of this question that resolves closer to within my apocalypse timeline, so I'll actually be forced to pay up [by my reckoning] if I'm wrong and Fermat goofed or was messing with us.
- I'll also be forced to pay up if people just don't turn a lot of compute toward answering this question, but I think this setup gives overall better incentives to short-timeline people.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 98% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027? é resolvido?
- Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves NO on January 1, 2027 if no such proof has yet been found.