Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 91.8%
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 28 minutos
7/06/26, 10:36 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
PolymarketWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
PolymarketWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
PolymarketWill a new country join the European Union before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any country join the Mecca Agreement by which date?
PolymarketWho will be the next country to join NATO?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if any new country officially joins the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) before January 1, 2027 (00:00 UTC).
- If no new country joins before this deadline, the market will resolve to NO.
- For the purposes of this market, a country is considered to have officially joined NATO when it deposits its instrument of accession to the North Atlantic Treaty with the Government of the United States of America (the official depositary of the Treaty) in accordance with Article 10 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
- The primary source of truth for this market will be NATO's official member countries page and official press releases from the NATO official website.
- Any country beyond the 32 existing member states that successfully completes accession and is listed as a full member before the deadline will trigger a YES resolution.
