Previsão da comunidade atual
Labour 41.3%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
56
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-0.4 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
5/05/25, 00:18 UTC2/01/29, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
What party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2028?
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KalshiRegras
Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from.
- Update 2026-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a hung parliament results in no government being formed and a snap election is called without any government (including a minority government) forming in the meantime, the market will resolve based on the PM after that subsequent election.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 bi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,1 mi
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 mais resultados
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Volume total
- € 29,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 621,6 mil
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Volume total
- € 19,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 488,8 mil
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 mais resultados
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from??
- A Manifold Markets cota Labour em 41% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from? é resolvido?
- Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from.
- Onde mais Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi, Gemini.