Previsão da comunidade atual
Labour 43%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
55
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 minutos
5/05/25, 0:182/01/29, 7:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Labour43%
Comparar plataformas· Labour
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMelhor no geral85% de correspondência · verificado | Média | 37% | — | 66,8 € | 86,8 mil € | há 18 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 43% | — | — | — | há 18 minutos |
Também disponível em Kalshi
Which party will win the next UK general election?
6.0 pts3a
37%
31%
20%
+5 mais resultados
52 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total211,8 mil €
Volume 24h66,8 €
KALSHIRegras
Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from.
- Update 2026-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a hung parliament results in no government being formed and a snap election is called without any government (including a minority government) forming in the meantime, the market will resolve based on the PM after that subsequent election.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$3508 de jul.13d de dados27 de jul.
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Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from.
- Update 2026-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a hung parliament results in no government being formed and a snap election is called without any government (including a minority government) forming in the meantime, the market will resolve based on the PM after that subsequent election.