KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualLabour party 37%Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
53 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
95,8 €
Liquidez
86,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
1.9% / 7.5%
Spread
5.6 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 minutos
16/02/26, 15:0031/08/29, 14:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Restore Britain party2%
Comparar plataformas· Labour party
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Média | 37% | — | 95,8 € | 86,8 mil € | há 20 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets85% de correspondência · verificado | — | 43% | — | — | — | há 20 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
2a
+1.1pt43%
-1.9pt35.1%
+0.6pt13.7%
+3 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade55 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
If the Your Party party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No.
- If the Conservative party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Reform party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Liberal Democratic party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$1092 de jul.25d de dados28 de jul.
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If the Your Party party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No.
- If the Conservative party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Reform party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Liberal Democratic party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.