KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivo
Dados de 8 de set. de 2026, 19:20 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
2026 4%Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
46 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1,7 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
1/09/26, 02:00 UTC1/01/30, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
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KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegras
If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2026 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- Each market's year is determined by the official polling day that actually occurs, not an announced or scheduled date that is later changed.
- If the official polling day for the next UK general election occurs in a year not listed, every market resolves NO.
- If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2027 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2028 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2029 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de In what year will the next UK general election be held??
- A Kalshi cota 2026 em 4% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando In what year will the next UK general election be held? é resolvido?
- In what year will the next UK general election be held? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como In what year will the next UK general election be held? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2026 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.