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Dados de 8 de set. de 2026, 19:20 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Kemi Badenoch 26%Líder entre 25 opções
Qualidade do mercado
26 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
3,4 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
9.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
20/08/26, 01:00 UTC8/01/35, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
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Regras
If the named outcome formally holds the position of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Prime Minister's Office, 10 Downing Street
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.
- For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- Andy Burnham is the holder at Issuance.
- A former holder who returns after Issuance is not disqualified solely on the basis of that prior service.
- If a person not listed here is first to formally hold the office after Issuance, every market resolves NO.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK??
- A Kalshi cota Kemi Badenoch em 26% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? é resolvido?
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? deverá ser resolvido em 8 de janeiro de 2035.
- Como Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome formally holds the position of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.