Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualJul-Dec 2026 43.7%-7.1ptLíder entre 5 opções
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-8.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
25/09/25, 22:16 UTC25/09/26, 22:14 UTC
Tendências
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Update 2025-09-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Release can be to a limited group (e.g., a closed beta), not only a public launch.
- Must be a real, new model by SSI — not a white‑labeled/rebranded external LLM.
- Requires third‑party confirmation of the model’s existence and that it is new.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will SSI release their first model??
- A Manifold Markets cota Jul-Dec 2026 em 44% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will SSI release their first model? é resolvido?
- When will SSI release their first model? deverá ser resolvido em 25 de setembro de 2026.
- Como When will SSI release their first model? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Update 2025-09-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Release can be to a limited group (e.g., a closed beta), not only a public launch.