KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Claude 89.7%Líder entre 9 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
76 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
24,2 mil €
Liquidez
21,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
14/09/26, 16:00 UTC21/09/26, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If OpenAI has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.8pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 70,3 mil
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 54,4 mil
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 20,9 mil
POLYMARKETGemini 4.0 released by which date?
- November 30-0.5pt89%
- October 31-2.0pt72%
- September 30-5.0pt11%
+4 mais resultados
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Best AI this week?
- A Kalshi cota Claude em 90% em 15 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Best AI this week é resolvido?
- Best AI this week deverá ser resolvido em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Best AI this week é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.