Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualHas a microphone 99%Líder entre 23 opções
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40
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado22/05/25, 15:54 UTC31/12/26, 16:49 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?
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PolymarketRegras
OpenAI acquired Jony Ive's io to build some kind of AI device.
- What will be true of the first device they release? This refers to whatever the first hardware product OpenAI + io release.
- If they release multiple devices simultaneously, each answer resolves YES if the answer is true of any of the devices.
- Update 2025-06-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the 'Designed to be worn on head' answer:
- Earbuds will be considered as 'worn on head'.
- Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market close date will be extended until the device is released or confirmed as cancelled.
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
- Above 72.5%96%
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- Volume total
- € 63,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 63,6 mil
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.8pt68.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt15.7%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,5 mi
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,85%
- December 31,-3.5pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
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- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- 1510+45.5pt100%
- 1520-9.9pt81%
- 1530-0.1pt4%
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KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude89.9%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT1.8%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 27,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 27,4 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What will be true of the OpenAI / Jony Ive device??
- A Manifold Markets cota Has a microphone em 99% em 15 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What will be true of the OpenAI / Jony Ive device? é resolvido?
- What will be true of the OpenAI / Jony Ive device? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como What will be true of the OpenAI / Jony Ive device? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: OpenAI acquired Jony Ive's io to build some kind of AI device.