KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 93%
Qualidade do mercado
46 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
5,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
6.0% / 14.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
30/05/25, 14:00 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
What will be true of the OpenAI / Jony Ive device?
Manifold MarketsWhat kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) 🤖📱👀
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegras
If the first hardware device announced by the OpenAI/Jony Ive collaboration before Jan 1, 2027 has a screen, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
- Above 72.5%96%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 63,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 63,6 mil
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.8pt68.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt15.7%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,5 mi
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,85%
- December 31,-3.5pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- 1510+45.5pt100%
- 1520-9.9pt81%
- 1530-0.1pt4%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude89.9%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT1.8%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 27,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 27,4 mil
- Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen??
- A Kalshi cota No em 93% em 15 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen? é resolvido?
- Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the first hardware device announced by the OpenAI/Jony Ive collaboration before Jan 1, 2027 has a screen, then the market resolves to Yes.