Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualCollatz conjecture is true 84.7%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado14/04/22, 15:57 UTC1/01/50, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
If someone publishes a counterexample Collatz conjecture and the mathematical community accepts it, this market resolves to that number.
- If someone publishes a proof of Collatz conjecture and the mathematical community accepts it, this market resolves #1.
- If this market doesn't resolve by the end of 2049, it resolves N/A. Apr 14, 12:08am: This was inspired by my Discord conversation with Gurkenglas about free-response market mechanisms.
- The point was to test / demonstrate a specific type of market failure with the current mechanism.
- Note: When I created this market the answers were numbered. #1 refers to the first answer submitted, in this case "the named outcome".
