Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual<10% 83.9%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
32
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado16/01/26, 20:50 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
OPQA (OpenAI-proof QA) hits 20% before 2027
Manifold MarketsOpenAI's proof of zero free region of Riemann zeta for Re(s)>7/8 shown to be flawed before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the best GSOBench score by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the best Remote Labor Index score by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegras
This market matches AI Research: OpenAI-Proof Q&A from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.
- See other manifold questions here
- [image]Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the best reported performance on OpenAI-Proof Q&A as of December 31, 2026.
- If OpenAI changes the task set, use the latest official reported version.
- If no 2026 results are published, the question resolves as ambiguous.