Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual≥90% 75.5%Líder entre 8 opções
Previsores
19
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+14.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado16/01/26, 20:50 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
This market matches Software Optimization: GSOBench from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.
- See other manifold questions here
- [image]Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the highest Hack-Adjusted Opt@1 score on the GSO leaderboard as of December 31, 2026.
- A task counts as solved if a single attempt achieves ≥95% of the human speedup AND passes all correctness tests.
- No retries or cherry-picking the best of multiple runs is allowed.