Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 71%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado15/02/26, 23:23 UTC31/12/34, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsUS unemployment rate at year-end 2026
KalshiRegras
Resolves YES if the unemployment for recent US college grads exceeds 25% at any point before 2035.
- Source: U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey (IPUMS)
- https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/college-labor-market#--:explore:unemployment
- The highest data-point so far was 13.4% in May 2020 at the beginning of COVID.
- 2030 market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/unemployment-rate-for-recent-us-col
Mercados abertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 90,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,5 mi
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 358,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 35,8 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 548,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 29,8 mil
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,7 mil
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 17,7 mil
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Volume total
- € 310,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mil
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 71% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035? é resolvido?
- Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2034.
- Como Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if the unemployment for recent US college grads exceeds 25% at any point before 2035.