KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem atividade de negociação
Dados de 9 de set. de 2026, 06:07 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Above 3.0% 0%Líder entre 15 opções
Qualidade do mercado
24 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaSpread
10.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
3/09/26, 01:00 UTC5/01/35, 13:29 UTC
Tendências
0%
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
US unemployment rate at year-end 2032
KalshiUS unemployment rate at year-end 2026
KalshiUS unemployment rate at year-end 2027
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4% in September 2026?
ForecastExUS unemployment rate at year-end 2028
KalshiRegras
If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2034 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- “Year-end” refers exclusively to the December reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released.
- It does not refer to the annual average, the fourth-quarter average, the highest unemployment rate reported during the year, or the latest unemployment rate available as of December 31.
- The Expiration Value is the first non-preliminary seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for December 2034.
- Values will be compared as published without rounding.
- Later revisions will not affect the outcome.
Mercados abertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 90,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,5 mi
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 358,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 35,8 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 548,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 29,8 mil
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,7 mil
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 17,7 mil
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Volume total
- € 310,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mil
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US unemployment rate at year-end 2034?
- A Kalshi cota Above 3.0% em 0% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando US unemployment rate at year-end 2034 é resolvido?
- US unemployment rate at year-end 2034 deverá ser resolvido em 5 de janeiro de 2035.
- Como US unemployment rate at year-end 2034 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2034 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.