Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 80.8%
Previsores
427
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado31/03/25, 23:44 UTC21/01/29, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Donald Trump either serve a third term or run for U.S. President in an election held after 2028?
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Manifold MarketsWill a bill or proposal be brought to a vote, that would allow President Trump to run for a third term?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump makes a formal attempt to serve a third term as President of the United States after having already served two terms.
- This includes but is the not limited to:
- Filing paperwork with the Federal Election Commission to run for a third term
- Pursuing legal challenges to the 22nd Amendment
- Attempting to assume the presidency through other means (such as becoming Vice President and then assuming the presidency)
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Trump tries to serve a third term??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 81% em 19 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Trump tries to serve a third term? é resolvido?
- Trump tries to serve a third term? deverá ser resolvido em 21 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Trump tries to serve a third term? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria