Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 85.6%
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82
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado13/11/24, 03:07 UTC1/01/29, 04:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will a bill or proposal be brought to a vote, that would allow President Trump to run for a third term?
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PolymarketRegras
resolves YES if
- trump formally announces a campaign for the 2028 election, whether or not it is legal at the time
- other republicans campaign trump as a party candidate
- he wins the 2028 election, even if he does not formally announce he is running
- resolves NO if
- trump announces he will not run for a 3rd term at the time of market close
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump participate in an election for a third term??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 86% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump participate in an election for a third term? é resolvido?
- Will Trump participate in an election for a third term? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will Trump participate in an election for a third term? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: resolves YES if