If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolíticaEleição2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 82.4%
Previsores
401
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado24/01/24, 04:35 UTC8/11/28, 06:32 UTC
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In Ben Shapiro and Destiny's debate, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5I6A2cukme8 Ben Shapiro claim that there is 0% chance that Trump would try to run for a third term US president, while Destiny claim that there's 100% chance that Trump would try to run for a third term.
- Who is right?
- I use a rather broad definition of 'attempt' here.
- Resolves to 'Yes' if there is any attempt by Trump to run for a third term as president.
- This includes public statements, fundraising efforts, or other indications suggesting he is considering a run for a third term.
- Resolves NA if Trump did not become president in 2024
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 82% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032? é resolvido?
- If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032? deverá ser resolvido em 8 de novembro de 2028.
- Como If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: In Ben Shapiro and Destiny's debate, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5I6A2cukme8 Ben Shapiro claim that there is 0% chance that Trump would try to run for a third term US president, while Destiny claim that there's 100% chance that Trump would try to run for a third term.