If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 51.7%
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Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado19/02/25, 04:18 UTC9/11/28, 05:59 UTC
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Resolves N/A if he does not become constitutionally eligible for a third term by the filing deadlines in states that comprise ≥270 EVs for the 2028 election
- Update 2025-09-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Constitutional eligibility will be assessed on election day, rather than at state filing deadlines.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 52% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win? é resolvido?
- If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win? deverá ser resolvido em 9 de novembro de 2028.
- Como If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves N/A if he does not become constitutionally eligible for a third term by the filing deadlines in states that comprise ≥270 EVs for the 2028 election