Will Trump's attempt to run for the 3rd term be blocked by court(s)?
PolíticaRegulamentaçãoOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 86%
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10
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado25/03/26, 08:40 UTC21/01/29, 00:59 UTC
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Resolves once it's clear that either Trump is not running for the 3rd term (not going to try, or abandoned his attenmpt), or it's clear he was able to run without sufficient impediment to stop him.
- If Trump does not try to run for a 3rd term, resolves NO
- If Trump tries, but abandons the attempt before courts are involved, resolves NO
- If Trump successfully runs for the 3rd term, resolves NO
- A court decision that is overruled by a higher court does not count.
- A successful 3rd term run resolves NO, even if he loses - even if there are some court decisions that prevented him from being on a ballot in some states.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump's attempt to run for the 3rd term be blocked by court(s)??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 86% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump's attempt to run for the 3rd term be blocked by court(s)? é resolvido?
- Will Trump's attempt to run for the 3rd term be blocked by court(s)? deverá ser resolvido em 21 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will Trump's attempt to run for the 3rd term be blocked by court(s)? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves once it's clear that either Trump is not running for the 3rd term (not going to try, or abandoned his attenmpt), or it's clear he was able to run without sufficient impediment to stop him.