Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 72.8%
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado31/08/26, 13:45 UTC20/01/29, 11:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
If Trump takes a concrete step towards trying to rename an ocean, such as an executive order, trying to get Congress to pass a bill, or trying to put a provision in a larger bill, I'll resolve Yes.
- He has to at least attempt to use a lever of government to rename an ocean.
- I'll be fairly liberal for what I consider trying to rename it.
- Talking about it, joking about it, etc, like he has already done will not count.
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 697,7 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 471,3 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump attempt to rename an ocean by the end of his term??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 73% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump attempt to rename an ocean by the end of his term? é resolvido?
- Will Trump attempt to rename an ocean by the end of his term? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will Trump attempt to rename an ocean by the end of his term? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Trump takes a concrete step towards trying to rename an ocean, such as an executive order, trying to get Congress to pass a bill, or trying to put a provision in a larger bill, I'll resolve Yes.