Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 82.7%
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3
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado6/01/26, 04:44 UTC1/01/27, 05:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
In the last few years, especially 2025, several nations experienced political upheaval with similar characteristics: youth-led, street-level/grassroots, social-media coordinated, occurring in peripheral nations, and primarily driven by governmental corruption and lack of basic social services rather than specific ideological motives.
- Some protestors identified themselves as being part of a global movement, despite most protests focusing on local concerns, adopting the Straw Hat from One Piece as a symbol.
- Examples include Madagascar, Nepal, Morocco, Philippines, Indonesia, Bangladesh, and potentially Kenya and Sri Lanka.
- Resolves YES if and only if the Associated Press, Reuters, or a consensus of credible media reports on one of the following during 2026:
- Governmental overthrow or change in government/ruling coalition/party due to Straw Hat mass protests
- Coup or self-coup orchestrated in response to Straw Hat mass protests
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 581,3 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
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POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
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POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
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POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 55,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 96,8 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Straw Hat protests continue in 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 83% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Straw Hat protests continue in 2026 é resolvido?
- Straw Hat protests continue in 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Straw Hat protests continue in 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: In the last few years, especially 2025, several nations experienced political upheaval with similar characteristics: youth-led, street-level/grassroots, social-media coordinated, occurring in peripheral nations, and primarily driven by governmental corruption and lack of basic social services rather than specific ideological motives.