Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 00:04 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualBefore Mar 2027 41.9%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
21
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-10.4 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 45 minutos
Atrasado27/07/26, 15:05 UTC28/02/27, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketRegras
New wave of mobilisation of personnel as rumoured by some telegram channels.
- Must be called "mobilisation" by the Russian government (possibly with extra adjectives") OR use the same legal structure a general mobilization would use as it's main legal background.
- This market resolves purely based on announcements/admissions by the Russian government.
- Elections are scheduled in Russia for September 20th and the rumour us mobilization will be announced after.
- Shorter time horizon (i.e. mobilization shortly after elections):
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/AIBear/russia-announces-mobilization-befor)Update 2026-04-07: the previous update was wrong.