New wave of mobilization in Russia announced when?
3.6 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope5mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBefore Mar 2027 75.1%-3.6ptLíder entre 7 opções
Previsores
19
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+14.7 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado27/07/26, 15:05 UTC28/02/27, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
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PolymarketRegras
New wave of mobilisation of personnel as rumoured by some telegram channels.
- Must be called "mobilisation" by the Russian government (possibly with extra adjectives") OR use the same legal structure a general mobilization would use as it's main legal background.
- This market resolves purely based on announcements/admissions by the Russian government.
- Elections are scheduled in Russia for September 20th and the rumour us mobilization will be announced after.
- Shorter time horizon (i.e. mobilization shortly after elections):
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/AIBear/russia-announces-mobilization-befor)Update 2026-04-07: the previous update was wrong.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de New wave of mobilization in Russia announced when??
- A Manifold Markets cota Before Mar 2027 em 75% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando New wave of mobilization in Russia announced when? é resolvido?
- New wave of mobilization in Russia announced when? deverá ser resolvido em 28 de fevereiro de 2027.
- Como New wave of mobilization in Russia announced when? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: New wave of mobilisation of personnel as rumoured by some telegram channels.