Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 95%
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15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado18/09/23, 21:23 UTC2/01/28, 07:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Any human will be killed by an alien creature.
- On earth is included.
- They can be killed personally or via destruction of their ship.
- But it must be violent or physical.
- It can't be by for example, redirecting their food resupply ship so the human starves.
- It has to be violent or physical and initiated by the alien.
Mercados abertos
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 581,3 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
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POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 55,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 96,8 mil
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- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
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- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
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- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Alien creature kills human anytime through 2038?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Alien creature kills human anytime through 2038 é resolvido?
- Alien creature kills human anytime through 2038 deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como Alien creature kills human anytime through 2038 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Any human will be killed by an alien creature.