Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 94%
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado15/03/26, 02:20 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution Criteria
- As of 2026, no fully humanoid robot has been deployed in direct combat operations.
- This market resolves YES if a humanoid robot (defined as a bipedal, human-shaped autonomous or semi-autonomous machine) directly kills a human combatant or civilian in Ukraine during 2026.
- Resolution requires credible documentation from established news sources confirming the death was caused by a humanoid robot's actions.
- The robot must be deployed in Ukraine and actively engaged in combat or combat-adjacent operations.
- Accidental deaths caused by mechanical failure or mishandling do not count.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75.5%
- New People (NL)-4.0pt21.4%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.5pt2%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 423,4 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-1.0pt13%
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POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
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POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume total
- € 35,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 95,4 mil
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA-0.1pt7%
- International Court of Justice+1.1pt6%
+17 mais resultados
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Humanoid robot kills human in Ukrain war in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 94% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Humanoid robot kills human in Ukrain war in 2026? é resolvido?
- Humanoid robot kills human in Ukrain war in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Humanoid robot kills human in Ukrain war in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria