[Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRússia / UcrâniaEuropa2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 06:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 91.5%
Previsores
27
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado21/03/24, 18:56 UTC2/01/27, 08:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Russia attack a NATO member in 2026?
FutuurIf China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030
Manifold MarketsIf China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030
Manifold MarketsWill there be a direct Morrocco-UK power cable operating by end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill there be direct state-action that results in a reduction of HRT insurance coverage for adults before 2029 in the US
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRegras
Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21548/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if credible media sources report a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before January 1, 2027.
- For this question, a direct conflict would be defined as:
- Any presence of uniformed troops within the internationally recognized borders of a hostile state without permission (whether these are NATO soldiers within Russian borders, or Russian soldiers within the borders of any NATO member state.)