If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030
GeopolíticaOne-OffChina4a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 57.7%
Previsores
94
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado9/04/23, 08:12 UTC31/12/30, 12:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Resolves Yes if US directly uses it's military force against China
- Resolves No otherwise
- Resolves N/A if by close date China has not invaded Taiwan
- "Invasion" is any attempt to establish a ground presence on the island of Taiwan with military force.
- If China attempted a landing on Taiwan but was entirely thwarted by a US attack this would still resolve Yes
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 58% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030 é resolvido?
- If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2030.
- Como If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves Yes if US directly uses it's military force against China