Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 86%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado1/05/25, 20:47 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US be at full employment in December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed -182,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work?
Manifold MarketsWisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
KalshiWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed 170,000 in September 2026?
ForecastExRegras
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a federal law or regulation in effect in 2026 that mandates employment or work-related activities as a condition for Medicaid eligibility for able-bodied adults without dependents.
- The market will resolve to "No" if no such federal requirement is in effect by that date.
- Medicaid is a joint federal and state program providing health coverage to low-income individuals.
- Historically, eligibility has been based primarily on income, without federal work requirements.
- However, there have been periodic efforts to introduce work requirements:
Mercados abertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 91 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 569,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 47,4 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 359,2 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 16,4 mil
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP+1.0pt51%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-3.0pt22%
- Volume total
- € 314,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 9,5 mil
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Medicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 86% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Medicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026? é resolvido?
- Medicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Medicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria: