Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 95.2%
Previsores
62
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 50 minutos
Atrasado16/11/23, 17:17 UTC2/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Is attention all you need? (transformers SOTA in 2027)
Manifold MarketsWill the "Attention Is All You Need" Paper be given the Test of Time Award in NeurIPS 2027?
Manifold MarketsGemini 4.0 released by which date?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill SpaceXAI rename itself to SpaceXSI (or another "SI" name) by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve according to the website below: https://www.isattentionallyouneed.com/
- Proposition:
- On January 1, 2027, a Transformer-like model will continue to hold the state-of-the-art position in most benchmarked tasks in natural language processing.
- For the Motion
- Jonathan Frankle @jefrankle Harvard Professor Chief Scientist Mosaic ML
- [image]Against the Motion