KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Gemini 62.5%Líder entre 9 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Gemini 62.5%Qualidade do mercado
66 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
29,2 mil €
Contratos em aberto
26,4 mil €
Contratos em aberto: altoSpread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
5/10/26, 16:00 UTC12/10/26, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 1h (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketRegras
If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Regras de cada resultado
- Gemini
- If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Claude
- If Anthropic has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Grok
- If xAI has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ChatGPT
- If OpenAI has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- MUSE
- If Meta has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Amazon Nova
- If Amazon has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Qwen
- If Alibaba has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dola
- If ByteDance has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kimi
- If Moonshot has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.