In what year will the next US recession begin?

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Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de In what year will the next US recession begin??

A Manifold Markets cota 2027 em 47% em 25 de outubro de 2026.

Quando In what year will the next US recession begin? é resolvido?

In what year will the next US recession begin? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2030.

Como In what year will the next US recession begin? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market asks when the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) will determine the next US recession began.

Use este mercado em código ou em um agente de IA

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KALSHI

October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP

• U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k16%
• U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k+4.0pt7%
• U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above3.5%

+9 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 18,3 mil

Volume 24h

€ 17,3 mil

KALSHI

Recession in 2027?

• No79.5%
• Yes-1.0pt20.5%

Volume total

€ 659,9 mil

Volume 24h

€ 6,1 mil

KALSHI

CPI YoY in December

• Above 3.0%96.5%
• Above 3.1%95.5%
• Above 3.3%94.5%

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above -0.1%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 0.0%98.5%
• Above 0.1%89.5%

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.3%97.5%
• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%

KALSHI

Mexico unemployment rate in October

• Above 2.7%48%
• Above 2.6%52.5%
• Above 2.8%45.5%

• US recession by end of 2026?
• CPI in November
• China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?
• Core CPI YoY in December
• US economic state at the end of 2026?
• US jobs revisions in the report covering October 2026
• CPI in December
• South Africa unemployment rate in Q3
• China Annual GDP Growth 2026
• US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
• China unemployment rate in October