KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaProbabilidade implícita atualQ1 2026 3%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
28 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0,1 €
Liquidez
1,5 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
3.3% / 7.8%
Spread
136.4%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
16/08/25, 17:3031/12/26, 15:00
Tendências
0%
0%
Resultado escolhido
Q1 20263%
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
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Regras
If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q4 2024, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification 4/15/25 3:00 AM ET: The determination for this market will be based on which quarter NBER highlights (independent of the month they highlight).
- For example, the most recent recession written as "February 2020 (2019Q4)" would resolve YES for the market called "Q4 2019" (if this was listed).
- If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q1 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q2 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q3 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.