Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 72.6%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado6/04/26, 06:59 UTC1/01/31, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReal GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Vietnam's real GDP grow by at least 12% in 2026
Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in 2030?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2034?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if Mexico's real GDP growth for the full calendar year 2026 is reported as 1.6% or greater by the Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI).
- Otherwise, it resolves to "NO."
- The resolution will be based on the official final or revised annual GDP data published by INEGI (https://www.inegi.org.mx/).
- If the official annual report is not available by November 1, 2027, the market will resolve based on the most recent, reputable data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) or the World Bank.
Mercados abertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 97,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 4,8 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 702,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 91 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 400 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 34,5 mil
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 28,3 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Volume total
- € 2,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 4,9 mil
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 73% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria