Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?
InflaçãoOne-OffMacro e economiaEconomia3a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 29 de out. de 2026, 14:15 UTC · política pm-quality-4
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado ontem
Desatualizado7/11/24, 22:17 UTC1/01/30, 22:59 UTC
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This question will be resolved based on official U.S. economic data, focusing specifically on annual real GDP growth (adjusted for inflation).
- The question will resolve as “Yes” if real GDP growth for any full calendar year exceeds 5% between the years 2024 and 2029, inclusive.
- Otherwise, it will resolve as “No” if no such year exhibits this level of growth by the end of 2029.
- Specific Criteria
- Data Source:
- • The resolution will use official data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) or another recognized authoritative economic body.
