Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 62.6%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado9/12/23, 23:44 UTC1/03/27, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Mexico have a larger GDP than Brazil in 2028?
Manifold MarketsSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
PolymarketWill South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsSouth Africa vs Australia. 1st Test Megamarket
Manifold MarketsZimbabwe vs South Africa
KalshiZimbabwe vs South Africa
KalshiRegras
Resolves as YES if Nigeria has a larger GDP than South Africa in the year from January 1st 2026 -> December 31st 2026
Mercados abertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 89,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 541,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 30,7 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 334,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,8 mil
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 10,7 mil
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume total
- € 612,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,9 mil
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Volume total
- € 2,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,3 mil
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 63% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de março de 2027.
- Como Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves as YES if Nigeria has a larger GDP than South Africa in the year from January 1st 2026 -> December 31st 2026