Will South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026?
Middle EastOne-OffRussia / UkraineChinaLatin America6mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 81.5%
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Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado11/04/26, 16:46 UTC31/03/27, 22:59 UTC
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This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if South Africa's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report.
- If the report is paywalled, I may resolve to a secondary source such as Wikipedia.
- If South Africa's democracy score for 2026 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 82% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de março de 2027.
- Como Will South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if South Africa's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report.