In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved?
One-OffCiênciaHealth & Medicine3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 53.5%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado15/04/26, 03:42 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Nectome is a brain preservation startup, comparable to cryonics.
- They are currently debuting their services, which they claim to be much higher quality than other organizations, but they have yet to preserve any clients.
- This market resolves to YES if, in 2029, Nectome publicly releases data or is independently verified to have achieved an ideal preservation rate of 75% or higher for its attempted preservations in the last 12 months or at least 10 total attempted preservations, whichever is higher.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- (Thus, in June of 2029, if Nectome releases a report indicating that they only had 2 clients that failed to fully perfuse, out of 20 total, that would resolve YES.
- If they have a terrible 2027, but evidence shows they got their act together and had all 14 perfusions in 2029 go ok, that would also be YES.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 54% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved? é resolvido?
- In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Nectome is a brain preservation startup, comparable to cryonics.