Will at least 4 of Nectome's first 20 clients have significant damage?
One-OffHealth & MedicineCiência13aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 66.7%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado15/04/26, 03:57 UTC15/04/40, 03:45 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
Nectome is a brain preservation startup, comparable to cryonics.
- They are currently debuting their services, which they claim to be much higher quality than other organizations, but they have yet to preserve any clients.
- This market resolves YES if, by 2040 there is strong evidence that at least 4 of the first 20 preservations that Nectome attempts have significant damage such that restoring them to life is either impossible or would result in significant losses to their personality, memory, et cetera.
- If, when the market closes, there is no significant signs of such damage, this market resolves NO.
- If Nectome fails to preserve 20 people I will attempt to resolve N/A. If it's not clear whether there's "strong evidence" I will use my best judgment.
- As such, I won't bet.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will at least 4 of Nectome's first 20 clients have significant damage??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 67% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will at least 4 of Nectome's first 20 clients have significant damage? é resolvido?
- Will at least 4 of Nectome's first 20 clients have significant damage? deverá ser resolvido em 15 de abril de 2040.
- Como Will at least 4 of Nectome's first 20 clients have significant damage? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Nectome is a brain preservation startup, comparable to cryonics.