PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31, 68%+1.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
67 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,9 mil €
Liquidez
16,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
67.0% / 68.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComments
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
19/08/26, 17:4931/12/27, 23:59
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants approval of intismeran autogene for any indication by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Intismeran autogene refers to the individualized neoantigen therapy developed by Moderna and Merck and evaluated in the Phase 3 INTerpath-001 trial (NCT05933577), also known as mRNA-4157 and V940, together with any brand, trade, or nonproprietary name later assigned to that product, as well as any renamed or modified version that the relevant company or the FDA identify as the same product or a direct continuation of the V940/mRNA-4157 program.
- Differences in neoantigen composition between patients will not affect resolution.
- Changes to the product's formulation will not affect resolution, provided the FDA approves the product described above.
- Approval as part of a combination regimen will qualify.
Mercados abertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
- Yes+1.0pt87.1%
- No-1.0pt12.9%
- Volume total
- € 32,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 15,4 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 15 mil
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.1pt97%
- Yes-0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- € 15,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 8,9 mil
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 3000-1.0pt96%
- Above 4000-1.0pt81%
- Above 6000+5.0pt29%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 782,3 mil
POLYMARKETHeidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
- December 3172%
- October 3133%
- November 3033%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6,5 mil
KALSHIWhen will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- Before Aug 1, 202774%
- Before Apr 1, 202767%
- Before Jan 1, 202767%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 4,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3,7 mil
- Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
- New pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Brepocitinib by Priovant Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December 31, em 68% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date? é resolvido?
- FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants approval of intismeran autogene for any indication by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.