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  3. Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

5.0% (24h)Health & MedicineOne-Off6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 32%-5.0%
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

12 €

Liquidez

712,5 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

30.0% / 33.0%

Spread

10.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

17/07/25, 14:001/01/27, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes32%

Regras

If the FDA approves any psychedelic substance for medical use for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Psychedelic drugs include: LSD, Psilocybin, DMT, Mescaline, MDMA, MDA, PCP, DXM, Ibogaine, Salvia divinorum, 2C family, and Ayahuasca.
  • Important information: For purposes of this Contract:
  • The listed substances are illustrative, not exhaustive.
  • Approval of any other substance commonly recognized in scientific or FDA documentation as a psychedelic, hallucinogen, or entactogen (for example, psilocin, 5-MeO-DMT, methylone, or 2C-, DOx-, or NBOMe-family compounds) may also satisfy the Payout Criterion.
  • "Approval for medical use" means an FDA approval letter for an NDA or BLA authorizing marketing of a drug or biologic for human medical use in the United States, where a listed (or otherwise qualifying) psychedelic substance is an active pharmaceutical ingredient of the approved product.

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Regras

If the FDA approves any psychedelic substance for medical use for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Psychedelic drugs include: LSD, Psilocybin, DMT, Mescaline, MDMA, MDA, PCP, DXM, Ibogaine, Salvia divinorum, 2C family, and Ayahuasca.
  • Important information: For purposes of this Contract:
  • The listed substances are illustrative, not exhaustive.
  • Approval of any other substance commonly recognized in scientific or FDA documentation as a psychedelic, hallucinogen, or entactogen (for example, psilocin, 5-MeO-DMT, methylone, or 2C-, DOx-, or NBOMe-family compounds) may also satisfy the Payout Criterion.
  • "Approval for medical use" means an FDA approval letter for an NDA or BLA authorizing marketing of a drug or biologic for human medical use in the United States, where a listed (or otherwise qualifying) psychedelic substance is an active pharmaceutical ingredient of the approved product.