Quais são as probabilidades atuais de FDA Approves Openwater Cancer Treatment by 2032?

A Manifold Markets cota No em 81.9% em 10 de outubro de 2026.

Quando FDA Approves Openwater Cancer Treatment by 2032 é resolvido?

FDA Approves Openwater Cancer Treatment by 2032 deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2032.

Como FDA Approves Openwater Cancer Treatment by 2032 é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Openwater (https://openwater.health) has a device that damages cancer cells selectively with ultrasound.

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FDA Approves Openwater Cancer Treatment by 2032

Saúde e medicinaOne-Off5a

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 81.9%

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Tipo de pergunta

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Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

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Atrasado

14/01/25, 02:36 UTC2/01/32, 07:59 UTC

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Openwater (https://openwater.health) has a device that damages cancer cells selectively with ultrasound.

This market will resolve YES if any cancer treatment using Openwater's ultrasound technology is approved by the FDA before January 1, 2032 for one or more cancer indications.
Any FDA approval for treating cancer outside of a clinical trial counts, even if it only covers a small set of patients.
If Openwater's technology gets transferred to another entity, use of that technology will count as long as it involves focused ultrasound.
I have a blog post about the treatment here: https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2025/01/13/openwaters-cancer-treatment/

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