KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 88%
Qualidade do mercado
54 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
74,2 €
Liquidez
4,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
7.0% / 12.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
25/03/26, 14:00 UTC31/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a case of paralysis or death attributed to polio in the USA before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a year without polio before 2030?
KalshiWill there be at least one calendar year with no reported wild polio cases before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
KalshiRegras
If there are above 0 cases of polio in the United States in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volume total
- € 15,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 30,4 mil
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- € 652,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3,5 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,9 mil
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt97%
- Above 600059%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 865,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 2,7 mil
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volume total
- € 915,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,4 mil
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- € 84 mil
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year??
- A Kalshi cota No em 88% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year? é resolvido?
- Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If there are above 0 cases of polio in the United States in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.