PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 86.1%
Não 86.1%Qualidade do mercado
70 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
7,6 mil €
Liquidez
2 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
13.0% / 14.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
6/10/26, 08:21 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
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PolymarketWill the Irkutsk Anti-Plague institute incident turn into an outbreak?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a human case of pneumonic plague outside the Russian Federation is confirmed and established as epidemiologically linked to the outbreak associated with the Irkutsk Anti-Plague Research Institute by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A "confirmed case" is a case explicitly identified by a qualifying source as laboratory-confirmed Yersinia pestis infection with pneumonic (pulmonary) involvement, or explicitly announced as a confirmed pneumonic plague case.
- A bubonic or septicemic case that progresses to pneumonic plague qualifies.
- An epidemiological link means a qualifying source states that the case acquired its infection from a person, animal, sample or material connected to the Irkutsk outbreak, or that the case travelled from Irkutsk Oblast within the incubation period and is being investigated as part of that outbreak.
- Resolution is based on the date a qualifying source publishes the confirmation and the link, not the date of exposure, symptom onset or laboratory result.