PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualDecember 31 54%-1.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
64.66498002469945 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,1 mil €
Liquidez
12,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
53.0% / 54.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+30.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
1/04/26, 19:3131/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
December 3154%
Tendência de volume
$1.3k2 de jul.20d de dados27 de jul.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast (48.40731° N, 37.17956° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Bilytske will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.